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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.26%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
35.91% ( -0.29) | 22.93% ( 0.14) | 41.16% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 65.39% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.3% ( -0.75) | 35.7% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.24% ( -0.83) | 57.76% ( 0.82) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( -0.48) | 20.32% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.3% ( -0.77) | 52.69% ( 0.76) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.06% ( -0.25) | 17.93% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.25% ( -0.43) | 48.75% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 41.16% |
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