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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Melbourne City has a probability of 36.83% and a draw has a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.15%) and 1-0 (4.68%). The likeliest Melbourne City win is 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.4%).
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
41.64% ( 0.33) | 21.53% ( 0.02) | 36.83% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 71.14% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.67% ( -0.15) | 28.33% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.85% ( -0.19) | 49.15% ( 0.19) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( 0.06) | 14.71% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.09% ( 0.12) | 42.91% ( -0.11) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( -0.21) | 16.59% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.6% ( -0.39) | 46.4% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.62% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 36.83% |
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