Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Brisbane Roar
62.13% ( -0)	19.71% ( -0.1)	18.17% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 59.74% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.41% (

0.67)

35.59% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.36% (

0.74)

57.64% (

-0.74)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.97% (

0.2)

11.03% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.66% (

0.44)

35.34% (

-0.43)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

0.52)

32.86% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

0.57)

69.43% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 62.13%

Brisbane Roar 18.17%

Draw 19.71%

Melbourne City	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.8% Total : 62.13%	1-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.71%	1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 18.17%