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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 57.52%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 21.53% and a draw has a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.41%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
57.52% ( -0.64) | 20.96% ( 0.23) | 21.53% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 61.12% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.57% ( -0.56) | 36.43% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.43% ( -0.61) | 58.57% ( 0.62) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( -0.36) | 12.55% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.41% ( -0.76) | 38.59% ( 0.76) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( 0.05) | 30.12% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.74% ( 0.06) | 66.26% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.11% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.96% | 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 21.53% |
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