Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
