SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
50.81% ( -1.17) | 22.83% ( 0.32) | 26.35% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 60.32% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( -0.73) | 40.09% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.54% ( -0.76) | 62.46% ( 0.76) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( -0.67) | 15.94% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.79% ( -1.24) | 45.21% ( 1.24) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( 0.25) | 28.23% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% ( 0.31) | 63.94% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.59% Total : 26.35% |
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