SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
34.35% ( 1.24) | 23.03% ( 0.18) | 42.62% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 64.63% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0.47) | 36.53% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% ( -0.52) | 58.68% ( 0.51) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.51% ( 0.44) | 21.49% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.46% ( 0.67) | 54.53% ( -0.67) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( -0.75) | 17.67% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( -1.32) | 48.3% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.64% Total : 34.35% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.99% Total : 42.62% |
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