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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wellington Phoenix in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
40.1% ( -1.06) | 24.13% ( -0.12) | 35.77% ( 1.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.81% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% ( 0.78) | 41.66% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% ( 0.79) | 64.06% ( -0.78) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( -0.16) | 20.92% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( -0.25) | 53.65% ( 0.25) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( 1.01) | 23.1% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( 1.46) | 56.95% ( -1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.77% |
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