Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne Victory | 6 | 4 | 13 |
2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 5 | -2 | 5 |
9 | Perth Glory | 4 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Wellington Phoenix | 5 | -6 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
40.66% | 24.95% | 34.4% |
Both teams to score 57.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.27% | 45.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.95% | 68.05% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% | 22.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% | 55.94% |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% | 25.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% | 60.71% |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-1 @ 8.76% 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 11.71% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-1 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.31% 1-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.4% |
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