SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 71.44%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
71.44% ( -0.28) | 15.74% ( 0.13) | 12.82% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.75% ( -0.24) | 27.24% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.2% ( -0.3) | 47.79% ( 0.3) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.24% ( -0.1) | 6.75% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.04% ( -0.29) | 24.96% ( 0.29) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( 0.05) | 33.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.48% ( 0.06) | 70.51% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.44% | 1-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.74% | 1-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 12.82% |
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