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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
25.36% ( -0.6) | 22.2% ( -0.21) | 52.43% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 61.58% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( 0.46) | 38% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.73% ( 0.48) | 60.26% ( -0.48) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( -0.2) | 27.86% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( -0.26) | 63.46% ( 0.26) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( 0.43) | 14.64% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.23% ( 0.82) | 42.77% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.65% Total : 25.36% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.22% Total : 52.43% |
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