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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
34.75% ( -0.25) | 22.9% ( 0.03) | 42.35% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 65.24% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.21% ( -0.2) | 35.79% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.14% ( -0.22) | 57.86% ( 0.23) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -0.22) | 20.94% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( -0.35) | 53.68% ( 0.35) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.52% ( 0.02) | 17.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.04% ( 0.02) | 47.97% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.75% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.1% Total : 42.35% |
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