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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 3-1 (5.3%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
43.44% ( 0.48) | 22.22% ( -0.28) | 34.34% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 67.76% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.54% ( 1.37) | 32.46% ( -1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.9% ( 1.58) | 54.1% ( -1.58) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( 0.73) | 15.71% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.21% ( 1.33) | 44.79% ( -1.33) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0.54) | 19.61% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( 0.87) | 51.56% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.03% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 34.34% |
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