SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 55.62%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 22.47% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.07%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
55.62% ( -0.91) | 21.91% ( 0.22) | 22.47% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.26% ( -0.21) | 39.73% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.91% ( -0.22) | 62.08% ( 0.21) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.79% ( -0.36) | 14.21% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.06% ( -0.7) | 41.93% ( 0.69) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( 0.49) | 31.14% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( 0.56) | 67.48% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.26% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.9% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.74% Total : 22.47% |
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