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Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 26, 2022 at 6.05am UK
Hunter Stadium
M

Newcastle Jets
2 - 2
Macarthur

Mikeltadze (32' pen.), Babalj (79')
Hoffman (25'), Ingham (47')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Uskok (21'), Oar (60')
Uskok (12'), Rose (26'), Oar (53'), Ruhs (90+4')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Macarthur.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMacarthur
44.08%24.57%31.35%
Both teams to score 57.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06%44.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71%67.29%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51%20.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03%52.97%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75%27.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32%62.68%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 44.08%
    Macarthur 31.35%
    Draw 24.56%
Newcastle JetsDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 44.08%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.58%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.56%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-1 @ 7.26%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.35%

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