Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
44.08% | 24.57% | 31.35% |
Both teams to score 57.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.06% | 44.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% | 67.29% |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.51% | 20.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.03% | 52.97% |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% | 27.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.32% | 62.68% |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.71% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.81% Total : 44.08% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-1 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 4.72% 1-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.35% |
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