Despite the difference in league positions, we cannot ignore that Glory are performing like a team who do not warrant bottom spot in the division. With that in mind, we are predicting a competitive low-scoring draw to play out, one which will not necessarily suit either side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
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