SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
32% ( -0.5) | 25.57% ( -0.23) | 42.42% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% ( 0.81) | 49.11% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% ( 0.73) | 71.19% ( -0.73) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.07) | 28.89% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( 0.09) | 64.77% ( -0.1) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.97% ( 0.71) | 23.03% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% ( 1.04) | 56.84% ( -1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 32% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.42% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
