Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
