SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Adelaide United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Adelaide United.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
61.15% ( -0.72) | 21.93% ( 0.36) | 16.92% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( -0.88) | 47.82% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( -0.82) | 70% ( 0.82) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( -0.52) | 15.15% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.26% ( -0.99) | 43.74% ( 0.99) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.37% ( -0.08) | 41.63% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.88% ( -0.07) | 78.11% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.31% Total : 61.15% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 16.92% |
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