Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 73.83%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.