Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 73.83%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.45%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
73.83% (![]() | 16.7% (![]() | 9.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.79% (![]() | 42.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.38% (![]() | 64.61% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.09% (![]() | 9.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.18% (![]() | 32.81% (![]() |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.99% (![]() | 50.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.33% (![]() | 84.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Perth Glory |
2-0 @ 13.24% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.2% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 73.82% | 1-1 @ 7.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.95% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.63% Total : 16.7% | 0-1 @ 3.43% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 9.47% |
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