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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
25.5% ( 0.54) | 20.4% ( 0.08) | 54.09% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 68.56% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.01% ( 0.16) | 28.98% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.04% ( 0.2) | 49.95% ( -0.2) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.45) | 22.89% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( 0.66) | 56.64% ( -0.66) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.91% ( -0.11) | 11.08% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.54% ( -0.25) | 35.46% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.5% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.12)0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 3.65% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.69% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.09% |
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