Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 17.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 2-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
