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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
45.29% ( 0.44) | 25.09% ( -0.05) | 29.63% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.97% ( 0.02) | 48.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( 0.02) | 70.2% ( -0.02) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.77% ( 0.21) | 21.23% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.87% ( 0.32) | 54.13% ( -0.31) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( -0.26) | 29.96% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( -0.32) | 66.08% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.29% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 29.63% |
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