SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Western United had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
72.19% ( 0.13) | 14.75% ( -0.04) | 13.05% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 67.07% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.6% ( -0.06) | 21.4% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.93% ( -0.08) | 40.06% ( 0.09) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.71% ( 0.01) | 5.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.17% ( 0.02) | 20.83% ( -0.02) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( -0.17) | 29.18% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( -0.2) | 65.12% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.7% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)6-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 4.8% Total : 72.19% | 1-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 14.75% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 1.9% 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 13.05% |
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