Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
