Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Adelaide United in this match.
