SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
32.61% ( -0.27) | 25.26% ( 0.28) | 42.13% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% ( -1.31) | 47.58% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( -1.22) | 69.78% ( 1.22) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.81) | 27.75% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( -1.05) | 63.32% ( 1.04) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( -0.57) | 22.5% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.93% ( -0.86) | 56.07% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.61% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.13% |
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