Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.38%. A win for Brisbane Roar has a probability of 25.59% and a draw has a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.68%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win is 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.79%).
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
25.59% ( 0.97) | 20.02% ( 0.38) | 54.38% ( -1.36) |
Both teams to score 70.14% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.99% ( -0.9) | 27.01% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.5% ( -1.14) | 47.5% ( 1.14) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% ( 0.13) | 21.75% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% ( 0.2) | 54.93% ( -0.2) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.64% ( -0.63) | 10.36% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.15% ( -1.44) | 33.85% ( 1.43) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 25.59% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.02% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.68% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.78% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 2.89% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 1.72% ( -0.13) 3-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.38% |
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