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Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 6, 2024 at 8.35am UK
Suncorp Stadium
MC

Brisbane Roar
vs.
Melbourne City

 
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 4-4 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 30 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 30 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.38%. A win for Brisbane Roar has a probability of 25.59% and a draw has a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.68%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win is 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.79%).

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
25.59% (0.972 0.97) 20.02% (0.38 0.38) 54.38% (-1.357 -1.36)
Both teams to score 70.14% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.99% (-0.898 -0.9)27.01% (0.891 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.5% (-1.141 -1.14)47.5% (1.135 1.14)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (0.128 0.13)21.75% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (0.199 0.2)54.93% (-0.204 -0.2)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.64% (-0.62899999999999 -0.63)10.36% (0.6231 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.15% (-1.435 -1.44)33.85% (1.429 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 25.59%
    Melbourne City 54.38%
    Draw 20.02%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.95% (0.215 0.22)
1-0 @ 3.44% (0.199 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 2.62% (0.162 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.33% (0.088 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.051 0.05)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 25.59%
1-1 @ 7.79% (0.251 0.25)
2-2 @ 6.74% (0.066 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.59% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.25% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.02%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.68% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 5.09% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.38% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 3.78% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-4 @ 2.89% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-5 @ 1.72% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-4 @ 1.47% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-5 @ 1.31% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-5 @ 1.13% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 54.38%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Macarthur 4-4 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 30 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-3 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 23 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 9 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-3 Sydney FC
Friday, November 1 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, October 19 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Goa 1-0 Brisbane Roar
Tuesday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 30 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-5 Melbourne City
Sunday, November 10 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Melbourne City
Monday, November 4 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-3 Victory
Saturday, October 26 at 9.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, October 19 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City (3-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 8am in Australian A-League


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