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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sydney FC had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Sydney FC win it was 2-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
21.85% ( -0.07) | 22.6% ( -0.05) | 55.54% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( 0.16) | 43.67% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( 0.15) | 66.06% ( -0.15) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( 0.02) | 33.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.42% ( 0.02) | 70.58% ( -0.02) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.41% ( 0.1) | 15.58% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.44% ( 0.18) | 44.55% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 21.85% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 9.13% 1-3 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 55.54% |
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