SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Western United had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
30.31% ( 0.04) | 24.22% ( 0) | 45.47% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.18% | 43.82% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.79% ( 0) | 66.21% ( 0) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( 0.03) | 27.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( 0.03) | 62.85% ( -0.03) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( -0.02) | 19.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.74% ( -0.03) | 51.26% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.31% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.47% |
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