SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Central Coast Mariners.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
36.13% ( 0.09) | 24.78% ( 0) | 39.09% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( 0) | 44.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( 0) | 67.05% ( -0) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% ( 0.05) | 24.29% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% ( 0.07) | 58.67% ( -0.08) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0.05) | 22.74% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( -0.07) | 56.41% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.13% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.09% |
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