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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
32.24% ( -0.82) | 24.41% ( -0.15) | 43.35% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.14% ( 0.43) | 43.85% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( 0.42) | 66.24% ( -0.43) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( -0.29) | 26.16% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( -0.39) | 61.24% ( 0.38) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 0.62) | 20.36% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% ( 0.98) | 52.77% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.24% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.87% Total : 43.35% |
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