SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
38% ( -0.34) | 25.42% ( -0.18) | 36.57% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.81) | 47.62% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( 0.74) | 69.82% ( -0.74) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( 0.18) | 24.62% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( 0.26) | 59.12% ( -0.26) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( 0.67) | 25.41% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( 0.91) | 60.22% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.01% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.72% Total : 36.57% |
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