Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
