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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
49.74% ( 0.02) | 22.06% ( 0.03) | 28.2% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 64.82% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.11% ( -0.16) | 34.89% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.13% ( -0.18) | 56.87% ( 0.18) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.58% ( -0.05) | 14.42% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.65% ( -0.09) | 42.34% ( 0.09) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( -0.11) | 24.26% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.38% ( -0.16) | 58.62% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 49.74% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.2% |
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