Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Jeonnam Dragons had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Jeonnam Dragons win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
