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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Apr 6, 2022 at 10.05am UK
AAMI Park
SF

Melbourne City
4 - 0
Sydney FC

Bos (26'), Leckie (55', 72'), MacLaren (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

le Fondre (32'), Yazbek (35'), Talbot (90+1')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
51.01%23.76%25.23%
Both teams to score 56.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74%45.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4%67.6%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22%17.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51%48.49%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15%31.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71%68.28%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 51.01%
    Sydney FC 25.23%
    Draw 23.76%
Melbourne CityDrawSydney FC
1-0 @ 9.78%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.1%
4-2 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 51.01%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 5.66%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.48%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 25.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Wellington 0-6 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 2 at 6.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, March 26 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Melbourne City
Wednesday, March 23 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-1 Victory
Saturday, March 19 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, March 12 at 6.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-1 Macarthur
Wednesday, March 9 at 8.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 2 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-2 Macarthur
Wednesday, March 30 at 9.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-0 Sydney FC
Friday, March 25 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-0 Western Utd
Saturday, March 19 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, March 12 at 8.05am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 5-0 Kaya
Tuesday, March 8 at 8.30am in AFC Champions League


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