Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
