SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Western United | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Western United had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
62.24% ( -0.14) | 20.94% ( 0.03) | 16.82% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.51% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.26% ( 0.08) | 43.73% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( 0.08) | 66.12% ( -0.08) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( -0.02) | 13.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.5% ( -0.03) | 40.5% ( 0.03) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% ( 0.19) | 39.31% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% ( 0.17) | 76.01% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 62.22% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.94% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 16.82% |
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