SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
42.68% ( -0.1) | 24.45% ( 0.03) | 32.87% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% ( -0.11) | 43.84% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% ( -0.11) | 66.23% ( 0.11) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.34% ( -0.09) | 20.66% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.76% ( -0.14) | 53.24% ( 0.14) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( -0.01) | 25.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.28% ( -0.02) | 60.72% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.68% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.87% |
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