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AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2024 at 10am UK
Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Shandong
2 - 3
Kawasaki

Fernandinho (67'), Jadson (85')
Xinli (35'), Zhunyi (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Erison (28' pen.), Marcinho (33'), Ienaga (79')
Erison (31'), Segawa (59'), Tanabe (90+1'), Ienaga (90+8')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Shandong Taishan and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yokohama 3-0 Shandong
Wednesday, December 13 at 8am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Ulsan 2-2 Kawasaki
Tuesday, December 12 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Shandong TaishanDrawKawasaki Frontale
42.68% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 24.45% (0.026 0.03) 32.87% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 58.89% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (-0.107 -0.11)43.84% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77% (-0.106 -0.11)66.23% (0.107 0.11)
Shandong Taishan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)20.66% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)53.24% (0.142 0.14)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.77% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)60.72% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shandong Taishan 42.68%
    Kawasaki Frontale 32.87%
    Draw 24.45%
Shandong TaishanDrawKawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.4% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 42.68%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 32.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Yokohama 3-0 Shandong
Wednesday, December 13 at 8am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 6-1 Kaya
Tuesday, November 28 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 3-1 Incheon United
Tuesday, November 7 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Shandong 5-1 Henan
Saturday, November 4 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-1 Shandong
Sunday, October 29 at 7.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Incheon United 0-2 Shandong
Wednesday, October 25 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Ulsan 2-2 Kawasaki
Tuesday, December 12 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Kawasaki
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 5-0 Johor Darul
Tuesday, November 28 at 10am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-0 Kashima Antlers
Friday, November 24 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-3 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, November 12 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 4-2 Pathum Utd
Tuesday, November 7 at 10am in AFC Champions League


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