SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
39.68% ( -0.23) | 23.7% ( 0.04) | 36.62% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 62.55% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% ( -0.15) | 39.43% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.22% ( -0.16) | 61.77% ( 0.16) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( -0.17) | 20.16% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% ( -0.27) | 52.45% ( 0.27) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( 0.03) | 21.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( 0.04) | 54.77% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 39.68% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.62% |
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