SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
66.88% ( -0) | 18.51% ( 0) | 14.61% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.13% ( 0.01) | 36.87% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.95% ( 0.01) | 59.05% ( -0.01) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.81% ( 0) | 10.19% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.53% ( 0) | 33.46% ( -0) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( 0.01) | 37.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% ( 0.01) | 74.66% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.44% 4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0)4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)5-0 @ 2% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.96% Total : 66.88% | 1-1 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.51% | 1-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.53% 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.61% |
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