SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo DR | Draw | Burkina Faso |
43.22% ( -0.06) | 27.25% ( 0.02) | 29.53% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.07) | 56.7% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.34% ( -0.06) | 77.66% ( 0.06) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( -0.06) | 26% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( -0.09) | 61.02% ( 0.09) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( -0.01) | 34.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( -0.01) | 71.25% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo DR | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.53% |
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