Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 46.84%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 26.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
Result | ||
Burkina Faso | Draw | Comoros |
46.84% ( 0.17) | 27.01% ( 0.34) | 26.15% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 46.99% ( -1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.48% ( -1.53) | 57.53% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.69% ( -1.23) | 78.31% ( 1.23) |
Burkina Faso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.43% ( -0.59) | 24.57% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.94% ( -0.84) | 59.06% ( 0.84) |
Comoros Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.29% ( -1.26) | 37.71% ( 1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.52% ( -1.26) | 74.48% ( 1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Burkina Faso | Draw | Comoros |
1-0 @ 13% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.38% Total : 46.83% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.67% Total : 26.15% |
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