SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 52.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Central African Republic |
52.33% ( 0.02) | 27.21% ( 0.15) | 20.46% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 40.89% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.58% ( -0.59) | 62.42% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.96% ( -0.43) | 82.04% ( 0.43) |
| Madagascar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( -0.25) | 24.18% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( -0.36) | 58.51% ( 0.36) |
| Central African Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.93% ( -0.53) | 46.07% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.22% ( -0.41) | 81.78% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Madagascar | Draw | Central African Republic |
| 1-0 @ 15.81% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.44% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 20.46% |
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