SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Congo had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Uganda in this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo | Draw | Uganda |
19.96% ( 0.24) | 25.81% ( 0.12) | 54.23% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.59% ( -0.15) | 58.4% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.99% ( -0.12) | 79% ( 0.12) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.72% ( 0.17) | 44.27% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.65% ( 0.14) | 80.34% ( -0.15) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( -0.21) | 21.64% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( -0.33) | 54.76% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.96% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 14.66% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.22% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 54.22% |
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