SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Uganda had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Uganda win it was 1-0 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uganda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Congo |
27.61% ( -0.44) | 28.89% ( -0.09) | 43.49% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 42.99% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.91% ( 0.1) | 63.09% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.47% ( 0.07) | 82.53% ( -0.07) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( -0.32) | 39.56% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( -0.29) | 76.25% ( 0.29) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( 0.34) | 28.87% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( 0.42) | 64.74% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uganda | Draw | Congo |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.61% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.88% | 0-1 @ 14.19% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.52% Total : 43.49% |
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