SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uganda win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uganda in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Uganda.
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | South Sudan |
60.13% ( -0.27) | 23.6% ( 0.19) | 16.27% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.45% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.71% ( -0.55) | 55.29% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% ( -0.45) | 76.51% ( 0.45) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( -0.3) | 18.12% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.93% ( -0.51) | 49.07% ( 0.51) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.07% ( -0.22) | 46.93% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.56% ( -0.17) | 82.43% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uganda | Draw | South Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 60.13% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.55% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.27% |
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