SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Congo had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Congo win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Congo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo | Draw | South Sudan |
35.16% ( -1.06) | 27.06% ( 0.08) | 37.78% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.34% ( -0.36) | 54.65% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.01% ( -0.3) | 75.98% ( 0.3) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( -0.83) | 29.6% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( -1.02) | 65.64% ( 1.02) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.97% ( 0.4) | 28.02% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( 0.51) | 63.67% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo | Draw | South Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.45% Total : 35.15% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.91% Total : 37.78% |
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