SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for South Sudan had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest South Sudan win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Sudan | Draw | Congo |
30.02% ( -1.25) | 28.41% ( -0.35) | 41.56% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 45.39% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.33% ( 0.85) | 60.66% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.26% ( 0.63) | 80.74% ( -0.64) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.71% ( -0.48) | 36.28% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.93% ( -0.49) | 73.07% ( 0.49) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( 1.32) | 28.75% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( 1.62) | 64.59% ( -1.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Sudan | Draw | Congo |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 30.01% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 13% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.62% Total : 41.56% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
